Prices of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) with similar maturity dates can be used to measure probabilities of a net decline in the consumer price index over the five-year period starting in early 2011 or the five-year period starting in early 2012. One measure of the probability of deflation for the 2012-17 period ticked down from 15 percent on August 15 to 14 percent on August 22. The deflation probability for the 2011-16 period remained at 13 percent.